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A Housing Submarket Approach to Neighborhood Revitalization Planning: Theoretical Considerations and Empirical Justifications

Author: Lisa K. Bates

Dissertation School: University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Pages: 137

Publication Date: June 2006

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Access Number: 10825

Abstract:

Many urban revitalization programs focus policy resources on spatially defined target neighborhoods. The impacts of these programs can include direct effects in the neighborhood chosen for intervention and spillover effects in other neighborhoods. These unintended and sometimes unpredicted effects may be positive or negative. This dissertation argues that without analyzing the urban spatial structure as a set of interrelated housing submarkets, planners will not be able to adequately predict and evaluate the effects of revitalization policy. In doing so, the research investigates the theorized nature of the housing market in space.

The empirical investigation, a case study of Philadelphia, defines spatial housing submarkets as distinct market segments based on housing quality. These submarkets are compared with first the housing market implied by the theories of Alonso-Mills-Muth and Tiebout, and second with the defined policy neighborhoods. The city and metropolitan are of Philadelphia are found to be highly heterogeneous in housing types, with no uniform pattern predicted by theory. Additionally, policy target neighborhoods are often comprised of different submarkets, leading to confusion in policy targeting. This research suggests that urban planners should consider the geography of housing submarkets in developing revitalization policies in order to choose appropriate geographic targets and to predict the spatial extent of market responses.

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